Gold Expected To Hold Above $1300

MINEX Forum | June 11, 2018 | Views: 73 | Source: IIFL

Gold could extend gains above $1300 per ounce as global trade worries could resurface after the war of words between the US and its G7 allies. In recent weeks, trading partners of the US have criticised new tariffs on steel and aluminium imports imposed by the Trump administration.

Gold remained in a tight spot as prices managed to hover just above $1300 per ounce levels ahead of the G7 talks. MCX Gold futures closed around Rs 31200 per 10 grams. The World Gold Council (WGC) is upbeat about Chinese Gold demand in coming years.

The council noted in a latest update that the 2005-2013 boom in Chinese gold jewellery demand was followed by a fallow few years, which saw demand shrink by one third. But there are green shoots of recovery emerging. 2017 saw modest growth, aided by industry efforts to better engage with modern consumers. And continued innovation by the trade could bear fruit over the coming years.

Global gold-backed ETF holdings added 15 tonnes(t) to 2,484t in May, according to a latest update from the World Gold Council (WGC). Europe and Asia drove inflows as European funds have responded strongly in the past two months. North American fund flows reversed their early 2018 trend as they lost 2.3% of assets, likely a result of the volatile prices in the gold market which left gold lower by 60bps (in dollar terms) on the month.

Volatility and weakness in the gold market were largely driven by a stronger dollar (Dollar index rose 2.3% on the month). However, USD-hedged gold was higher by 1.4% on the month. This highlights our view that having some allocation to USD-hedged gold helps risk-adjusted returns by lowering price volatility in periods when currency prices fluctuate, noted the WGC.

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